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The Black Swan

The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The Black Swan
kategoria: Politics, Society, Labour
autor: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
wydawnictwo: Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
ISBN / EAN: 9780141034591
język: angielski
data wydania: 28/02/2008
oprawa: miękka
wymiary: 19.4 x 12.7 x 3.3 cm
stron: 444
The Black Swan
75,60 zł oszczędzasz 3,78 zł (rabat 5%)
cena:71,82 zł
czas sprowadzenia z zagranicy:
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Opis produktu/serii

THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.

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